Prediction: White birthrate to rise in 2017

Originally published at the (now deleted) Andy Jacobs blog:


Michael Jeffrey writes at the Racial Observer, in part:

One side-effect of Trump’s election may be reflected in the White birth rate for 2017: we predict that it will go up past the replacement level for the first time in decades. Historically, Whites have been hesitant to bring children into the world when they have felt that the future will be dark or uncertain. With a new sense of optimism and security, it is likely that White couples will be more likely to reproduce. And no doubt “Donald” and “Melania” will head the list of children’s names for the coming year.

All other considerations aside, an upswing in the White birth rate is sorely needed right now. In November, the University of New Hampshire released a study revealing that the number of White births has plummeted in 17 states. Time magazine notes:

“The White population isn’t replacing itself,” says Ken Johnson, a University of New Hampshire demographer and co-author of the study. “That accelerates the growing diversity of the American population.”

From 1999 to 2014, the number of White births fell 8.4% to 2.1 million overall in the U.S., declines accelerated by the 2008-09 recession that caused many women to delay having children due to economic concerns. The number of deaths in that same period rose 5.8% to more than 2 million. Previous studies have shown that more White Americans, particularly middle-aged men, are dying from opioid abuse, suicide and problems associated with obesity in recent years.

“Growing diversity” is a code word used in the media for “White extinction.”

Even a modest bump in the White birth rate will be welcome.


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